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Real U.S. GDP Growth Rate Indicator. 

 

U.S. Corporate Profits

 

 

U.S. Inflation Rate Change

 

U.S. Industrial Production Index

 

U.S. Unemployment Rate

 

Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index

U.S. financial conditions in money markets, debt & equity markets, and the traditional & "shadow" banking systems. Positive values indicate financial conditions that are tighter than average.

U.S. Consumer confidence

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index

U.S. Temporary Employment

Temporary employment total U.S. number is perhaps the most overlooked yet one of the best leading indicators of economic downturn.

 

U.S. Long- and Short-term Interest Rate Differential

Lower the difference - higher the probability of recession.

 

Interest Rate Spread Between U.S. Government and Single-A Corporate Bonds

Key indicator of the level of the confidence investment community has in investment-grade corporate debt safety.

 

Interest Rate Spread Between U.S. Government and BBB-rated Corporate Bonds

Key indicator of the level of the confidence investment community has in investment-grade corporate debt safety.

 

Interest Rate Spread Between U.S. Government and High Yield (below investment grade) Corporate Bonds

Key indicator of the level of the confidence investment community has in investment-grade corporate debt safety.

 

U.S. Federal Debt, less held by Federal Reserve Banks, as part of GDP

U.S. Federal Reserve Balance Sheet

Indicates liquidity and money supply provided by the Fed.

 

Money Market Funds; Total Financial Assets, Level

 

U.S. GDP and Wilshire 5000 Market Capitalization Dynamics

 

5000 Market Capitalization and U.S. M3 Money Stock Dynamics

 

The relationship between U.S. GDP and Wilshire 5000 Market Capitalization (GDP/W5000)

 

Wilshire 5000 Market Capitalization to Corporate After-Tax Profits

 

Margin Accounts at Brokers and Dealers; Asset, Level

 

Hedge Funds' Margin Accounts at Prime Brokers and Dealers; Asset, Level

 

Relationship of M2 Money Supply and Gold Price

 

New Housing Starts Permits

 

U.S. Commercial Property Prices